Statistics Profile

Kai Cummings

2002

Bozeman Fencing Association, LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2046	1862 - 2229	2022	2646
Épée	Direct elimination	2204	1895 - 2512	1967	2449
Saber	Pool	1606	934 - 2277	1606	1606
Saber	Direct elimination	1825	599 - 3050	1825	1825

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.