Statistics Profile

Rhiana Thomas

2007

Atlantic Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	835	180 - 1489	835	1018
Épée	Direct elimination	1472	353 - 2590	1472	2079
Saber	Pool	1402	938 - 1865	1375	1473
Saber	Direct elimination	2015	1123 - 2906	2015	2598

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.