Statistics Profile

Maximo Posada

2009

Doral Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1820	1322 - 2317	1788	1820
Épée	Direct elimination	2106	1262 - 2949	2106	2274
Foil	Pool	1635	1088 - 2181	1458	1635
Foil	Direct elimination	1908	959 - 2856	1908	2121

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.