Statistics Profile

Hugo Baran

2006

Tampa Fencing & Tennis Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2120	1586 - 2653	2120	2134
Épée	Direct elimination	1707	598 - 2815	1707	2084
Foil	Pool	2410	1903 - 2916	2410	2837
Foil	Direct elimination	2356	1304 - 3407	2356	2573

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.