Statistics Profile

Alexander Moore

Verified
2011

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1979 1807 - 2150 871 1995
Épée Direct elimination 2335 2167 - 2502 1110 2349
Foil Pool 1767 1297 - 2236 1767 2246
Foil Direct elimination 2368 1763 - 2972 1827 2368

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.