Statistics Profile

Aiden Yu

2011

Miami Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1319	746 - 1891	1131	1319
Épée	Direct elimination	1845	784 - 2905	1845	1845
Saber	Pool	754	402 - 1105	711	932
Saber	Direct elimination	964	176 - 1751	964	1847

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.