Statistics Profile

Christopher Guffey

2008

Globus Fencing Academy Columbia University NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Saber	Pool	2777	2605 - 2948	1683	2845
Saber	Direct elimination	3063	2894 - 3231	1254	3063

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.