Statistics Profile

Lucille Boike

2012

Renaissance Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1961	1779 - 2142	1435	1961
Foil	Direct elimination	2207	2036 - 2377	1725	2842
Saber	Pool	1486	398 - 2573	1486	2560
Saber	Direct elimination	2681	1186 - 4175	2681	2681

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.