Statistics Profile

Luke Abanilla

2005

University Of New Hampshire

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2386	1781 - 2990	2235	2386
Épée	Direct elimination	2008	1304 - 2711	2008	2024
Foil	Pool	1585	1382 - 1787	1283	1694
Foil	Direct elimination	1597	1219 - 1974	1321	1955

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.