Statistics Profile

Joshua Peace

2006

Zeta Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1013	481 - 1544	961	1013
Foil	Direct elimination	1304	404 - 2203	1304	1711
Saber	Pool	1659	1354 - 1963	1183	1675
Saber	Direct elimination	1300	644 - 1955	1278	1786

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.