Statistics Profile

Miles Koeferl

2011

Portland Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1360	1059 - 1660	1357	1704
Épée	Direct elimination	956	301 - 1610	956	1169
Foil	Pool	863	691 - 1034	265	918
Foil	Direct elimination	1317	1087 - 1546	1133	1525

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.