Statistics Profile

Quinlan Brennan

2005

Manchen Academy Of Fencing Virginia Tech Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2109	1893 - 2324	1618	2126
Épée	Direct elimination	2362	2073 - 2650	1433	2451
Foil	Pool	2298	1064 - 3531	2298	2298
Foil	Direct elimination	1550	385 - 2714	1550	1550

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.