Statistics Profile

Connor Nardiello

2006

Freehold Fencing Academy Worcester Polytechnic Inst

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	591	0 - 1236	591	670
Épée	Direct elimination	1827	1000 - 2653	1827	2054
Foil	Pool	569	265 - 872	509	892
Foil	Direct elimination	1041	522 - 1559	751	1157

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.