Statistics Profile

Valerie Davis

2006

Baylor School

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1474	1032 - 1915	1474	2002
Épée	Direct elimination	1047	170 - 1923	1047	2079
Foil	Pool	1049	548 - 1549	1049	1755
Foil	Direct elimination	1635	812 - 2457	1635	2496

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.