Statistics Profile

Crawford Higdon

2005

Baylor School

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1536	980 - 2091	1318	1848
Épée	Direct elimination	1258	205 - 2310	1258	1381
Foil	Pool	3304	2709 - 3898	2763	3375
Foil	Direct elimination	2648	1837 - 3458	2329	2648

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.