Statistics Profile

Logan Urbanski

2006

Baylor School

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2191	1746 - 2635	2015	2539
Épée	Direct elimination	2849	2266 - 3431	2197	2849
Foil	Pool	3567	2926 - 4207	2875	3807
Foil	Direct elimination	4045	3239 - 4850	3419	4045

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.