Statistics Profile

Eli Beck

2009

Presidio Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1711	1494 - 1927	1711	1956
Épée	Direct elimination	1931	1575 - 2286	1701	2177
Foil	Pool	1770	970 - 2569	1770	1770
Foil	Direct elimination	1922	851 - 2992	1922	1922

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.