Statistics Profile

Allie Ng

2012

Olympic Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1395	1202 - 1587	1054	1675
Épée	Direct elimination	1584	1275 - 1892	966	1864
Foil	Pool	1044	614 - 1473	451	1044
Foil	Direct elimination	1740	1008 - 2471	1437	1910

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.