Statistics Profile

Elijah Bennett

2008

Fargo-Moorhead Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	386	0 - 888	386	1387
Foil	Direct elimination	1404	326 - 2481	1404	2079
Saber	Pool	1019	402 - 1635	719	1019
Saber	Direct elimination	1711	555 - 2866	1711	1871

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.