Statistics Profile

Conrad Seib-Levinson

2006

Haverford College NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1992	1193 - 2790	1429	1992
Épée	Direct elimination	2771	2060 - 3481	2107	2771
Foil	Pool	2010	1840 - 2179	913	2020
Foil	Direct elimination	2180	1998 - 2361	1287	2180

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.