Statistics Profile

Conrad Seib-Levinson

2006

Haverford College NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1991	1191 - 2790	1429	1991
Épée	Direct elimination	2771	2060 - 3481	2107	2771
Foil	Pool	2043	1873 - 2212	913	2043
Foil	Direct elimination	2200	2021 - 2378	1287	2200

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.