Statistics Profile

Alexander Kiayias

2012

Empire United Fencing Fencers Club Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1347	712 - 1981	1347	1347
Épée	Direct elimination	1569	391 - 2746	1569	1569
Foil	Pool	1509	1341 - 1676	411	1509
Foil	Direct elimination	1791	1618 - 1963	1039	1791

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.