Statistics Profile

ethan zhang

2007

Medeo Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2266	2102 - 2429	1441	2322
Épée	Direct elimination	2289	2111 - 2466	1359	2305
Foil	Pool	1445	1262 - 1627	1307	1700
Foil	Direct elimination	1432	1153 - 1710	1329	1796

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.