Statistics Profile

Cerise Wong

2010

The Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1467	945 - 1988	945	1467
Épée	Direct elimination	1940	1086 - 2793	1682	1940
Foil	Pool	1362	973 - 1750	1214	1410
Foil	Direct elimination	1760	994 - 2525	1752	1934
Saber	Pool	1584	1418 - 1749	943	1759
Saber	Direct elimination	1738	1553 - 1922	1228	1746

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.