Statistics Profile

Luke Reynolds Chang

2012

ASER International Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	873	693 - 1052	600	1020
Épée	Direct elimination	1080	793 - 1366	880	2079
Foil	Pool	665	470 - 859	205	686
Foil	Direct elimination	1075	730 - 1419	695	1520

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.