Statistics Profile

Johndale Carty JR

2009

South Florida Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2341	2170 - 2511	1559	2427
Épée	Direct elimination	2424	2248 - 2599	1934	2447
Foil	Pool	1452	1205 - 1698	1393	1728
Foil	Direct elimination	1579	1084 - 2073	1563	2060

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.