Statistics Profile

Crawford Adams

2008

Louisville Fencing Center, Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1781	1065 - 2496	1781	1830
Épée	Direct elimination	1648	528 - 2767	1648	1989
Saber	Pool	1053	545 - 1560	1053	1450
Saber	Direct elimination	1362	280 - 2443	1362	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.