Statistics Profile

Ezra Hooyer

2005

Metro Tacoma Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2360	1871 - 2848	2285	2666
Épée	Direct elimination	1036	347 - 1724	951	1430
Foil	Pool	1073	563 - 1582	843	1073
Foil	Direct elimination	1130	123 - 2136	1130	1567
Saber	Pool	1223	333 - 2112	1223	1223

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.