Statistics Profile

Ben Everett

2014

Nova Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	458	217 - 698	278	685
Épée	Direct elimination	787	220 - 1353	758	1650
Foil	Pool	1262	563 - 1960	1262	1262
Foil	Direct elimination	1830	727 - 2932	1830	1830

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.