Statistics Profile

Jenn Guska

2008

Royal Arts Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1561	1392 - 1729	1131	1561
Épée	Direct elimination	1513	1286 - 1739	927	1553
Foil	Pool	977	637 - 1316	547	977
Foil	Direct elimination	1301	623 - 1978	969	1376
Saber	Pool	1140	203 - 2076	1140	1140

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.