Statistics Profile

Audrey Smith

2004

Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - North

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1521	1197 - 1844	1444	1525
Épée	Direct elimination	1544	903 - 2184	1337	1985
Foil	Pool	1115	864 - 1365	1115	2079
Foil	Direct elimination	1708	1246 - 2169	1508	1792
Saber	Pool	1186	579 - 1792	1186	1296
Saber	Direct elimination	1823	792 - 2853	1823	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.