Statistics Profile

Albert Zeng

2012

Bluegrass Fencers' Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	691	350 - 1031	568	937
Épée	Direct elimination	997	258 - 1735	997	2079
Foil	Pool	1435	1266 - 1603	1062	1629
Foil	Direct elimination	1767	1596 - 1937	1608	2266

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.