Statistics Profile

Iris Rauch

2011

Nashville Elite Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	916	279 - 1552	916	916
Épée	Direct elimination	1495	336 - 2653	1495	1495
Foil	Pool	389	0 - 814	389	1042
Foil	Direct elimination	1247	509 - 1984	1247	1924

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.