Statistics Profile

Kalista Ton

1998

University of California Davis

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2285	1963 - 2606	2021	2368
Foil	Direct elimination	2559	1959 - 3158	2443	2817
Saber	Pool	3151	2017 - 4284	2759	3151

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.