Statistics Profile

Emily Perkins-Ollila

1997

Genbu Fencing Corps

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1703	1450 - 1955	1391	1712
Épée	Direct elimination	1722	1259 - 2184	1581	1963
Foil	Pool	1554	1055 - 2052	1554	1779
Foil	Direct elimination	1753	589 - 2916	1753	1924

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.