Statistics Profile

Asa Allen

2011

Richmond Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	761	51 - 1470	761	761
Foil	Direct elimination	1851	593 - 3108	1851	1851
Saber	Pool	1408	1238 - 1577	849	1410
Saber	Direct elimination	1732	1506 - 1957	1472	2279

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.