Statistics Profile

Gianluca Mazzuca

2011

Doral Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	776	378 - 1173	776	948
Foil	Direct elimination	1729	968 - 2489	1729	1796
Saber	Pool	577	264 - 889	497	1170
Saber	Direct elimination	1670	1005 - 2334	1670	2108

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.