Statistics Profile

Sofia Jun

2011

Fencing Academy Of Boston

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	457	0 - 1159	457	457
Foil	Direct elimination	1547	342 - 2751	1547	1547
Saber	Pool	1110	933 - 1286	467	1237
Saber	Direct elimination	1376	1078 - 1673	1021	1789

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.