Statistics Profile

Timothy Jeffcoat

1966

Valkyrie Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1442	1244 - 1639	1299	1605
Épée	Direct elimination	1326	871 - 1780	1326	2241
Foil	Pool	1489	1287 - 1690	1352	1590
Foil	Direct elimination	1270	805 - 1734	1116	1757
Saber	Pool	1968	1308 - 2627	1968	2199
Saber	Direct elimination	1800	582 - 3017	1800	1800

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.