Statistics Profile

Sampson Lin

2014

SoCAL Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1135	964 - 1305	440	1152
Foil	Direct elimination	1594	1412 - 1775	1247	2176
Saber	Pool	821	422 - 1219	821	1202
Saber	Direct elimination	1324	617 - 2030	1324	2116

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.