Statistics Profile

Ethan Jennings

2012

Houston Sword Sports

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1307	945 - 1668	1307	1750
Épée	Direct elimination	1954	1385 - 2522	1832	2783
Foil	Pool	1467	230 - 2703	1467	1467
Foil	Direct elimination	1931	549 - 3312	1931	1931

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.