Statistics Profile

Max Meserve

2006

Swordplay LA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1754	1333 - 2174	1165	1754
Épée	Direct elimination	2071	1289 - 2852	1758	2157
Foil	Pool	1590	1118 - 2061	1590	2509
Foil	Direct elimination	1853	1069 - 2636	1853	2449

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.