Statistics Profile

Bryant Welch

1990

Fencing Academy Of Denver

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1719	1426 - 2011	1623	1905
Épée	Direct elimination	1524	980 - 2067	1138	1774
Saber	Pool	1467	1094 - 1839	916	1625
Saber	Direct elimination	1721	1175 - 2266	1721	3099

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.