Statistics Profile

Claire McBride

2005

Orion Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1260	857 - 1662	1101	1434
Épée	Direct elimination	1745	834 - 2655	1745	2369
Saber	Pool	674	60 - 1287	674	705
Saber	Direct elimination	1735	769 - 2700	1365	1749

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.