Statistics Profile

Mark Gonzalez

2009

ORO Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	834	71 - 1596	834	834
Foil	Direct elimination	1612	395 - 2828	1612	1612
Saber	Pool	1170	991 - 1348	772	1275
Saber	Direct elimination	1334	1046 - 1621	1159	1778

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.