Statistics Profile

Joshua Morton

2008

LA International Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1983	1733 - 2232	1983	2506
Épée	Direct elimination	2144	1662 - 2625	2144	2936
Foil	Pool	1817	1636 - 1997	1638	3516
Foil	Direct elimination	1979	1695 - 2262	1979	2811

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.