Statistics Profile

Luke Young

2009
LA International Fencing
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1450 1159 - 1740 1232 1499
Épée Direct elimination 1957 1475 - 2438 1957 2402
Foil Pool 1326 1148 - 1503 992 2101
Foil Direct elimination 1823 1588 - 2057 1612 2118
Saber Pool 683 10 - 1355 683 683
Saber Direct elimination 1555 393 - 2716 1555 1555

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.