Statistics Profile

Luke Young

2009

LA International Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1450	1159 - 1740	1232	1499
Épée	Direct elimination	1957	1475 - 2438	1957	2402
Foil	Pool	1326	1148 - 1503	992	2101
Foil	Direct elimination	1823	1588 - 2057	1612	2118
Saber	Pool	683	10 - 1355	683	683
Saber	Direct elimination	1555	393 - 2716	1555	1555

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.