Statistics Profile

Adam Demaree

2002

University Of Tennessee Knoxville Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2002	1741 - 2262	1881	2170
Épée	Direct elimination	2059	1609 - 2508	1972	2283
Foil	Pool	1053	527 - 1578	1053	1125
Foil	Direct elimination	1306	399 - 2212	1306	1424
Saber	Pool	1834	1284 - 2383	1686	2016
Saber	Direct elimination	2145	1328 - 2961	2145	2353

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.