Statistics Profile

Samuel Hagen

2002

Clemson University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1575	1109 - 2040	1486	1575
Épée	Direct elimination	897	0 - 1813	897	1382
Foil	Pool	2171	1327 - 3014	2171	2171
Foil	Direct elimination	2079	640 - 3517	2079	2079
Saber	Pool	1871	1615 - 2126	1776	1957
Saber	Direct elimination	2207	1747 - 2666	1041	2207

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.