Statistics Profile

Liam Jobe

2011

On Target Fencing Team Cyranos Place

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	873	484 - 1261	873	1457
Épée	Direct elimination	1350	660 - 2039	1342	1876
Foil	Pool	1342	759 - 1924	1342	1342
Foil	Direct elimination	1607	330 - 2883	1607	1607

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.