Statistics Profile

Jonah Denney

2004

Salle New Bern

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1501	581 - 2420	1501	1501
Épée	Direct elimination	1364	218 - 2509	1364	1364
Saber	Pool	1167	305 - 2028	1167	1167
Saber	Direct elimination	1995	853 - 3136	1995	1995

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.